2/02/2005|||110738522954847047||||||
A FORECAST

In The Corner, John O'Sullivan surveys a new landscape:

Maybe I am mistaken, but I sense that the reactions to the Iraqi elections--good and bad, including even those on The Corner--don't come near to reflecting its significance. This is an event like Dien Bien Phu or the collapse of the Berlin Wall. It marks a turning point in history. It changes the future, of course, but it also changes the past. As the plainly angry and frustrated responses of the Left demonstrate, it places the entire Iraq adventure in a better and more optimistic light. It gives legitimacy to the wider democracy project. And it challenges the passionate belief (passionate because not wholly believed) of the UN-EU-Third World-Davos world establishment that history is tending inevitably in their direction: namely, towards "governance" by a non-democratic confederation of elites.

Now, I don't want to seem starry-eyed. A lot can still go wrong. The elections may produce a squabbling demagogic anarchy. The Sunni, having party excluded themselves, may complain of their exclusion and support the insurgency. A shaky Iraqi government may ask the U.S. to withdraw too soon and undermine itself. And so so. But if these things do happen, they will happen in a different local and international political context. The cause of constitutional liberal democracy--which the UN-EU-Third World-Davos people regard as old hat at best--is now seen to have real and persistent energy.
|||Clive|||http://clivedavis.blogspot.com/2005/02/forecast-in-corner-john-osullivan.html|||2/02/2005 10:52:00 pm|||||||||
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